Cfl week 4

[powerz]

Alrighty short week and week 4 is upon us already.

Ytd 8-4 +18.35 last week 3-1

So if you have been following along in the cfl you might know that Favs are now 6-6, but did you know of those 6 losses ATS the favorites line has moved 1.5 points or greater. Which is exactly the scenario we have today. Toronto opened at -6.5 which was too high IMO and is now at -8 at my key book.

I have 3 other points today

1. Reading over fan websites they are actually happy buck pierce is not starting and further they think their team had been playing well up until last weeks fiasco in Ed. Most tweets I read said that it is Alex brinks time he will follow the offensive plan better helping the defense get its rest and the oLine with their blocking.

2. After playing a game like last week most Pros can't wait to get back on the field, I don't think the bombers want to go home 0-4. We should see a motivated team today.

3. the Argos are playing on three days rest coming off agame against their rivals. I am not sold on the Argos they have been undisciplined, and the defense has not been very good. now take out the mix their kicker is out that could have an impact.

A 1-2 team should not be laying 8 points.

Winn +8.5 4*
Winn ml +290 1*

I would not be surprised if this game goes to -9, but I am heading out for the day and have to put my play in now.

Good luck guys


owerz

 

[maddeaux]

Although we are on opposite sides for this game, best of luck this week.

 

[maddeaux]

Not often a team can cover with a QB completing 1 of his last 14 passes but the Bombers got it done tonight, congrats!

 

[powerz]

I hearya maddeaux but something just smelled about that line.

tomorrow I really like the sask/ Cgy game under 52.5 4*

Richie Hall has done amazing things with the sask defense from worst to first, it's no wonder the riders are 3-0.

With drew Tate on shelf I think the stamps will be a bit more conservative and run the ball more.

Gl guys


Powerz

 

[spottie2935]

almolst got the ML i was with you last night on the bombers.

i see the outcome a bit different tonight. same total as last night with better offensive minded teams.

good luck tonight

 

[powerz]

Hi ya spottie.....

I hear you about the total, but Calgary has yet to play a good defensive team. sask offense won't be as good on the road this time out.

This is the number 1 defense vs the number 4 in points allowed. sask has already held two good offenses to 20 points or less.

Good luck with your plays

Powers

 

[spottie2935]

valid points on the Riders D. I guess I am fixated on the Stamps D. I know the Riders can score but the stamps D did hold the Als to 10 points in week 1. Even though we think differently I like sharing ideas.

 

[quantumleap]

I too like the Sask D but I don't trust the Calgary D. They gave up 39 points to Toronto in Week 2 and 33 points to Montreal in Week 3.

I'm going with Sask ML+155.

GL.

 

[VenomousSanction]

Gl p...

 

[quantumleap]

Also going with Sask team total over 11 1/2 for 2nd half tonight. I think they can put up the points with Durant leading the team.

Sorry powerz, next time I'll make my own thread.

@)

 

[quantumleap]

I too like the Sask D but I don't trust the Calgary D. They gave up 39 points to Toronto in Week 2 and 33 points to Montreal in Week 3.

I'm going with Sask ML+155.

GL.

I turned the game off when Sask had the ball up 38-21. I see now that they lost in OT!!

##)

 

[powerz]

I did not like what I saw in the BC lions line so I layed off the game.

Today I like the ticats

Wagering 6.25* to win 4.5* on the ML.

This line is rising from pickem to now -2.5 - That -2.5 is an awesome line in the CFL and the ticats should prevail today.


check out some of these numbers on Montreal....

Montreal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Montreal is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
&
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton - Now in alot of those games they were probably favs.
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton

Hamilton is turning into a pretty decent home team
Hamilton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home - Minus that head scratcher vs Sask and they are 7-2.

you never know what you are going to get with henry burris but he always seems to have his team in the game at the end

Lets go Ticats!

gl GUYZ
POWERZ

 

[maddeaux]

Saw an interview with Calvillo earlier in the week talking about how he's had to change his delivery of the ball because of the injury to his non-throwing shoulder. With the Als struggling on the road and versus the Ti-Cats, seems like the right play. Good luck.

 

[powerz]

Thanks Madeaux

I guess what i am trying to say here is that the times they are changing in the east - Montreal has for a long time dominated this division but their recent record does not reflect that dominance.

Also this is a bit contrarian b/c earlier I posted against favs when the line moves more than -1.5 points, but I really like that it moved through -2 which is a key number in the cfl.

Montreal got 2 wins at home but did not cover either game.


gl powerz

 

[powerz]

Wow AC is one tough mother the Al's gotta figure out away to protect the old guy.

Nice winner never in doubt

 

[maddeaux]

Burris sure looked good tonight; Als defense a shell of what they used to be. Congrats Powerz!